
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Black Swan is about random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? These are Black Swans: events whose impact is huge, that are impossible to predict, yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. The book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
- Publisher
- Penguin UK
- ISBN-13
- 9780141906201
- Genre
- Topics
- Uncertainty and riskRandomness and probabilityForecasting and decision-making
Awards
Other awarded books from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has no other awarded or shortlisted books yet.
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